Padres vs. Mets odds, picks: Advanced computer MLB model releases selections for Wild Card Game 3 matchup

The New York Mets and San Diego Padres face off in a Game 3 matchup to decide a berth in the NLDS at 7:07 p.m. ET on Sunday. New York is listed as a -135 favorite (risk $135 to win $100) at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 6.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our MLB odds page). Before making any Padres vs. Mets or MLB Wild Card picks, you NEED to check out the MLB predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times, and it entered the final week of the regular season on an 18-8 run on top-rated money-line picks, returning almost $700 for $100 players. This is the same model that pegged the 2021 Atlanta Braves at 10-1 as one of three best bets to win it all last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen HUGE returns.

The model knows the Mets have myriad strengths this season and 101 wins to show for it. New York led the National League in hits, batting average, and strikeout avoidance this season, with top-three marks in runs scored and on-base percentage. The Mets also landed comfortably in the top five in slugging percentage, OPS, and total bases, with Pete Alonso keying the attack with 40 home runs. The model also knows the Padres have plenty of star power with Manny Machado and Juan Soto. San Diego will deploy a top-end starting pitcher in Joe Musgrove, who earned an All-Star bid this season. He posted a 2.93 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in 30 regular season starts, and opponents produced only a .667 OPS against Musgrove. He also allowed only one run in his final four starts of the regular season, spanning 22 innings of work.

Now, it has set its sights on Padres vs. Mets. We can tell you the model is leaning Over the total, and it also says one team has all the value! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any MLB picks.

Who wins Game 3 of Padres vs. Mets? And which team has all the value on the money line? … Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Padres vs. Mets matchup you should be all over Sunday, all from the model on a roll on MLB picks!